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Red94
784920.3
604550.3
468723.0
Blue122
477840.0
329750.8
308247.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781415010020094122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points21
12Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
76Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
94Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#26
50.32.1
39.841.9
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
blue by 0.5
50.80.1
48.448.5
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Second
4687
#34
23.02.1
14.816.9
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 24.4
47.40.2
33.333.5
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
Third
7849
#47
20.32.1
20.122.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 19.6
4778
#27
40.00.2
36.736.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned