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Red49
375511.7
527111.3
226434.6
Blue126
284624.4
249829.8
250239.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751025015049126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+81
Endgame+81
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +80
4Coral scored#16
14Coral points56
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#5
0Processor points18
0Net points20
0Algae points38
14Total teleop94
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
4Foul points0
49Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#25
34.62.2
30.428.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
blue by 4.9
2502
#12
39.52.8
31.234.0
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
Second
3755
#51
11.72.2
17.415.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 18.0
2498
#14
29.84.6
29.634.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
Third
5271
#46
11.32.2
16.914.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 13.1
2846
#36
24.42.8
23.926.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned