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Red70
554116.6
392626.3
222731.4
Blue115
266732.6
417441.8
220724.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741115010015070115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
57Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
70Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2227
#17
31.41.0
25.124.1
Auto5.7
Teleop21.5
End4.2
blue by 10.3
4174
#20
41.81.2
41.943.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
Second
3926
#29
26.31.0
23.122.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.4
End3.5
blue by 6.4
2667
#21
32.61.2
27.028.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Third
5541
#49
16.61.0
22.321.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 7.6
2207
#23
24.21.2
24.725.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed