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Red92
759412.3
690925.3
389143.4
Blue49
706824.9
59968.5
303821.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868450607080901001101201309249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
44Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
28Foul points0
92Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3891
#24
43.41.8
35.033.2
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
red by 18.5
7068
#33
24.93.4
30.827.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
Second
6909
#13
25.31.8
28.026.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 3.9
3038
#40
21.43.4
24.721.3
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
7594
#37
12.31.1
12.411.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
red by 3.8
5996
#50
8.53.4
18.014.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned