Skip to content
Qual 482025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red86
282339.8
422511.0
245028.8
Blue79
466330.7
251315.9
784920.3
65%Model gave it35%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82722040601001201408679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points4
86Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#7
39.80.5
31.6→32.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 9.0
4663
#19
30.71.1
31.2→32.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
2450
#10
28.80.5
24.5→25.0
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
red by 8.5
7849
#47
20.31.1
22.3→23.4
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
4225
#39
11.00.8
16.5→17.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
blue by 4.9
2513
#41
15.90.7
11.2→11.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed