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Red96
218132.3
222057.3
253819.0
Blue72
784920.3
247243.7
59968.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10978501001502009672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
55Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
96Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
57.30.0
52.552.4
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
red by 13.6
2472
#35
43.70.5
38.137.6
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
Second
32.30.0
29.729.7
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
red by 12.0
7849
#47
20.30.8
23.422.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
2538
#16
19.00.1
14.314.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
red by 10.5
5996
#50
8.50.8
14.613.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed