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Red83
254933.7
466418.5
345421.4
Blue49
422917.3
706824.9
301831.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829540601001201408349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
61Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
83Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#22
33.71.2
34.936.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 2.1
3018
#30
31.53.5
31.427.8
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
Second
3454
#42
21.41.2
19.921.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
blue by 3.5
7068
#33
24.93.5
27.423.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
Third
4664
#48
18.51.2
17.518.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 1.2
4229
#43
17.33.5
22.018.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed