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Qual 582025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red57
823411.4
417441.8
249829.8
Blue107
546432.5
466330.7
621729.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059702004006008001,0001,20057107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
42Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
57Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#20
41.84.8
43.1→38.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
red by 9.3
5464
#38
32.50.4
33.7→34.0
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
2498
#14
29.84.8
34.2→29.3
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
blue by 1.0
4663
#19
30.70.6
32.4→33.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Third
8234
#45
11.44.8
17.7→12.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
blue by 18.2
6217
#4
29.60.4
23.9→24.3
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned