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Qual 622025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red129
706824.9
477840.0
604550.3
Blue142
253819.0
388343.6
857057.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311136080100140160180200220129142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points49
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
88Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
14Foul points12
129Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#26
50.30.0
48.3→48.3
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
blue by 7.5
8570
#2
57.73.3
49.4→52.7
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Second
4778
#27
40.00.0
40.2→40.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
blue by 3.6
3883
#11
43.62.1
34.5→36.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
Third
7068
#33
24.90.0
23.9→23.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
red by 5.9
2538
#16
19.03.3
14.3→17.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned