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Red143
621729.6
247243.7
250239.5
Blue61
254933.7
784920.3
554116.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111846010012014016018014361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+62Teleop
+76Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points8
23Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +53
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
100Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
6Foul points0
143Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#35
43.72.6
37.640.2
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
red by 10.1
2549
#22
33.72.0
36.134.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Second
2502
#12
39.52.6
36.639.1
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
red by 19.2
7849
#47
20.32.0
22.620.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
29.62.6
24.326.8
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 13.0
5541
#49
16.62.1
21.419.2
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed