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Red118
690925.3
285526.3
284768.9
Blue48
245028.8
251112.1
345421.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13953010015011848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +49
17Coral scored#5
60Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
74Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
118Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.0
65.465.4
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
red by 40.1
2450
#10
28.80.7
27.226.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
Second
2855
#15
26.30.1
27.127.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
red by 4.9
3454
#42
21.41.2
21.120.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
6909
#13
25.30.1
26.126.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 13.2
2511
#44
12.11.2
10.89.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed