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Red92
389143.4
546432.5
284624.4
Blue140
422917.3
379246.7
329750.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120141608010016018020092140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+18
Endgame+40
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
79Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points8
92Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3891
#24
43.42.4
39.637.2
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
blue by 7.4
50.80.1
50.250.0
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Second
5464
#38
32.51.5
34.032.5
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 14.2
46.70.1
45.245.0
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Third
2846
#36
24.41.5
26.625.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
red by 7.1
4229
#43
17.30.2
18.518.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned