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Qual 672025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red51
375511.7
303821.4
823411.4
Blue79
422511.0
527111.3
417441.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5981020401001201405179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
40Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points20
51Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#40
21.40.5
22.6→22.1
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 20.4
4174
#20
41.81.2
38.2→37.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
Second
3755
#51
11.70.5
14.7→14.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
red by 0.4
5271
#46
11.31.2
12.0→10.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Third
8234
#45
11.40.5
12.9→12.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
red by 0.4
4225
#39
11.01.2
15.3→14.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed