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Red151
222057.3
226434.6
251315.9
Blue98
546432.5
690925.3
477840.0
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091069010012013014015015198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
88Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
20Foul points6
151Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
57.32.1
55.357.3
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
red by 17.4
4778
#27
40.00.6
40.239.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Second
2264
#25
34.63.2
30.934.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
red by 2.1
5464
#38
32.50.4
32.532.0
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Third
2513
#41
15.92.1
13.815.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
blue by 9.4
6909
#13
25.30.6
26.125.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed