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Red196
388343.6
282339.8
284768.9
Blue88
527111.3
220724.2
389143.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1647305010015020025019688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+88Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +53
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points48
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
36Processor points12
20Net points8
56Algae points20
121Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#7
11L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
196Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.93.1
65.468.5
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
red by 25.5
3891
#24
43.40.5
37.237.6
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Second
3883
#11
43.63.1
36.639.7
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
red by 19.4
2207
#23
24.20.5
23.724.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
Third
39.83.1
36.339.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 28.5
5271
#46
11.30.5
10.811.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed