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Red93
285526.3
857057.7
374518.1
Blue79
363036.8
284624.4
784920.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11588501001502009379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
64Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points0
93Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.7
52.752.0
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
red by 21.0
3630
#28
36.80.2
36.636.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End5.1
Second
2855
#15
26.30.7
27.026.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
red by 1.9
2846
#36
24.40.2
25.124.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
Third
3745
#32
18.10.7
18.918.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End2.2
blue by 2.2
7849
#47
20.30.3
20.620.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed