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Qual 702025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red121
251112.1
249158.7
266732.6
Blue108
249829.8
254933.7
247243.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711750150200121108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
80Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#3
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points8
121Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#6
58.71.7
53.1→54.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
red by 15.0
2472
#35
43.70.3
40.2→39.9
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
Second
2667
#21
32.62.5
30.1→32.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
blue by 1.1
2549
#22
33.70.4
34.1→33.7
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Third
2511
#44
12.12.5
9.6→12.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 17.6
2498
#14
29.80.4
30.2→29.8
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed