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Red56
466330.7
375511.7
554116.6
Blue130
329750.8
218132.3
706824.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701255010015020056130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +49
8Coral scored#20
29Coral points72
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
41Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
56Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#19
30.72.5
33.831.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
blue by 20.1
50.80.8
50.050.8
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Second
5541
#49
16.62.6
19.216.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 15.7
32.30.8
30.831.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Third
3755
#51
11.72.5
14.211.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 13.2
7068
#33
24.91.1
23.824.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned