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Red107
250239.5
785031.8
468723.0
Blue41
379246.7
59968.5
422511.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118885010015020010741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#4
57Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
75Total teleop19
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
107Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#12
39.50.8
39.140.0
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
blue by 7.2
46.72.2
45.042.9
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
7850
#31
31.81.2
30.631.8
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End2.3
red by 20.9
4225
#39
11.03.1
14.111.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
Third
4687
#34
23.01.3
21.623.0
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 14.4
5996
#50
8.53.1
11.68.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed