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Red119
329750.8
604550.3
59968.5
Blue161
249158.7
226434.6
254933.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100996080120140160119161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
19Total auto29
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
84Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#7
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points24
119Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.0
40.342.4
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
blue by 7.9
58.73.4
42.946.3
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
6045
#26
50.32.5
29.532.0
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
red by 15.7
2264
#25
34.64.3
26.931.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
Third
5996
#50
8.52.5
17.920.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 25.1
2549
#22
33.74.3
20.624.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned