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Red123
303821.4
222731.4
388343.6
Blue73
466330.7
222057.3
251112.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110205015012373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
82Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
123Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#11
43.63.8
25.829.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
blue by 13.8
2220
#18
57.31.6
44.743.1
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
Second
2227
#17
31.44.7
21.125.8
Auto5.7
Teleop21.5
End4.2
red by 0.7
4663
#19
30.72.7
27.424.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Third
3038
#40
21.44.7
19.424.1
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 9.3
2511
#44
12.12.7
17.014.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed