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Red101
389143.4
251315.9
417441.8
Blue110
301831.5
285526.3
247243.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55920150101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
72Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
101Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3891
#24
43.45.1
21.827.0
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
blue by 0.3
2472
#35
43.72.8
34.036.8
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
Second
4174
#20
41.85.1
22.727.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
red by 10.2
3018
#30
31.53.5
22.726.2
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
Third
2513
#41
15.94.1
8.312.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
blue by 10.4
2855
#15
26.33.5
22.025.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned