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Red109
857057.7
345421.4
784920.3
Blue66
379246.7
759412.3
375511.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867605010015010966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+33Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
24Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
69Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
109Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.72.4
27.630.0
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
red by 11.0
46.71.0
34.933.9
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
3454
#42
21.42.4
22.024.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
red by 9.1
7594
#37
12.31.1
8.47.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
Third
7849
#47
20.32.4
19.321.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 8.6
3755
#51
11.71.4
18.016.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed