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Red129
621729.6
284768.9
706824.9
Blue82
392626.3
468723.0
546432.5
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238005010015020012982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+33Teleop
+41Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#15
43Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
75Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points0
129Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.9
62.863.7
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
red by 36.4
5464
#38
32.50.2
32.031.7
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
29.60.9
16.016.9
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 3.3
3926
#29
26.30.3
26.826.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.4
End3.5
Third
7068
#33
24.91.1
25.826.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
red by 2.0
4687
#34
23.00.3
17.817.5
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed