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Red54
374518.1
218132.3
422917.3
Blue79
690925.3
604550.3
527111.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069556065755479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
27Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
54Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.6
25.625.0
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
blue by 18.0
6045
#26
50.31.9
27.529.5
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
Second
3745
#32
18.10.8
17.817.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End2.2
blue by 7.1
6909
#13
25.31.9
17.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Third
4229
#43
17.30.8
17.817.0
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 6.1
5271
#46
11.31.9
16.118.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned