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Red86
308247.4
282339.8
249829.8
Blue59
785031.8
554116.6
245028.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8055020401001208659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+29Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
53Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points12
86Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.6
24.826.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
red by 15.5
7850
#31
31.80.4
17.617.2
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End2.3
Second
39.81.3
23.024.2
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 11.0
2450
#10
28.80.3
18.718.3
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
Third
2498
#14
29.81.6
18.219.7
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 13.2
5541
#49
16.60.4
14.414.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed