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Red188
284624.4
329750.8
222057.3
Blue193
379246.7
247243.7
388343.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149153120140160180200188193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +8
24Coral scored#28
85Coral points101
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
24Processor points24
28Net points20
52Algae points44
137Total teleop145
Reef
11L4#10
11L3#8
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#8
41Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
188Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
57.30.5
57.257.8
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
red by 10.6
46.70.6
44.745.3
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
50.80.5
50.751.2
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 7.1
2472
#35
43.70.6
41.642.2
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
Third
2846
#36
24.40.5
24.324.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
blue by 19.1
3883
#11
43.60.6
41.542.1
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2