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Red166
284768.9
546432.5
604550.3
Blue192
249158.7
389143.4
857057.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160164140150170180190200166192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points44
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +8
23Coral scored#22
84Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
124Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#14
6L3#6
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points6
166Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.3
68.668.9
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
red by 10.2
58.70.8
55.756.5
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
6045
#26
50.30.4
49.950.3
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
blue by 7.5
57.71.1
53.854.9
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Third
5464
#38
32.50.3
32.232.5
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 10.9
3891
#24
43.41.1
39.440.5
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1