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Red100
621729.6
250239.5
466330.7
Blue151
477840.0
308247.4
301831.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913150100150200100151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+63
Endgame+61
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave0
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +28
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
68Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#10
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +51
12Foul points2
100Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#12
39.50.4
40.039.6
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
blue by 7.9
47.40.8
47.047.8
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
Second
4663
#19
30.70.5
31.430.9
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
blue by 9.2
4778
#27
40.00.8
39.540.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Third
29.60.4
30.129.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2
blue by 1.9
3018
#30
31.50.8
31.132.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2