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Red101
245028.8
218132.3
417441.8
Blue94
621729.6
250239.5
466330.7
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109110809010012013014015010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points16
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
58Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
101Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#20
41.80.0
40.940.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
red by 2.3
2502
#12
39.50.1
39.639.5
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
Second
32.30.0
31.631.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
red by 1.6
4663
#19
30.70.2
30.930.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Third
2450
#10
28.80.0
28.128.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
blue by 0.8
29.60.1
29.729.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2