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Red133
284768.9
546432.5
604550.3
Blue125
226434.6
282339.8
363036.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17011750100150200250133125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points33
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
87Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#6
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points4
133Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.4
68.568.1
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
red by 29.1
39.80.2
39.439.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Second
6045
#26
50.30.5
49.749.2
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
red by 13.5
3630
#28
36.80.2
36.436.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End5.1
Third
5464
#38
32.50.4
32.031.6
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 2.1
2264
#25
34.60.4
34.134.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8