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Red129
284624.4
329750.8
222057.3
Blue91
477840.0
308247.4
301831.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412810020012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
83Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points2
129Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
57.30.1
57.457.2
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
red by 10.0
47.40.9
47.846.9
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
Second
50.80.1
50.850.7
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 10.9
4778
#27
40.00.9
40.439.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Third
2846
#36
24.40.1
24.424.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
blue by 7.1
3018
#30
31.50.9
32.031.1
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2