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Red137
477840.0
308247.4
301831.5
Blue174
249158.7
389143.4
857057.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12116850100150200250137174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points25
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
91Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
137Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.5
46.947.4
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
blue by 11.4
58.70.5
55.255.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
4778
#27
40.00.5
39.540.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
blue by 17.8
57.70.7
53.153.8
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Third
3018
#30
31.50.5
31.131.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
blue by 11.9
3891
#24
43.40.7
38.839.4
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1