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Red106
310035.6
308236.4
565328.3
Blue69
250228.6
388342.9
285513.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098705015020025030035040010669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
77Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
106Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.2
35.836.0
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 6.6
42.90.5
43.342.8
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Second
35.60.2
35.035.2
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
red by 7.0
28.60.5
28.928.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
5653
#15
28.30.2
27.727.9
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 15.0
2855
#14
13.30.5
13.613.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4