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Red116
310035.6
308236.4
565328.3
Blue92
250228.6
388342.9
285513.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108505015020025030035011692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
73Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
116Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.4
36.036.4
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 6.6
42.90.2
42.842.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Second
35.60.4
35.235.6
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
red by 7.0
28.60.2
28.428.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
5653
#15
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 15.0
2855
#14
13.30.2
13.113.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4