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Red45
78493.4
284610.0
703816.1
Blue69
205247.9
32917.4
565328.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341780501001502002503004569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
24Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
45Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.2
22.921.6
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 31.8
47.94.7
63.759.0
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
2846
#11
10.01.2
11.810.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 18.3
5653
#15
28.34.7
48.543.8
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Third
7849
#16
3.41.2
10.79.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
blue by 4.0
3291
#12
7.46.2
24.017.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed