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Red65
250228.6
308236.4
25312.5
Blue64
310227.0
310035.6
388342.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001550502002503006564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +24
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
22Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
65Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.3
54.151.8
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 6.6
42.95.2
48.343.1
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Second
28.62.3
30.127.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
blue by 7.0
35.65.2
44.739.5
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
Third
2531
#10
2.52.3
14.812.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
blue by 24.5
27.05.2
42.937.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned