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Red90
565328.3
703816.1
310035.6
Blue76
310227.0
78493.4
308236.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104940501502009076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points25
13Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
55Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
90Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.9
36.035.1
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
blue by 0.8
36.40.7
44.043.3
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
Second
5653
#15
28.30.9
34.433.6
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 1.2
27.00.7
32.131.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Third
16.10.9
17.616.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
red by 12.8
7849
#16
3.40.7
5.14.4
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed