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Red36
308236.4
25312.5
217712.7
Blue128
388342.9
78493.4
205247.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010805015020025036128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+70
Endgame+84
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points22
20Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +59
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
8Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
6Foul points14
36Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.5
43.340.8
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 11.5
47.91.4
46.948.3
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
2177
#13
12.72.5
17.314.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.5
End0.1
blue by 30.2
42.91.4
41.242.6
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Third
2531
#10
2.52.5
6.54.0
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
blue by 0.9
7849
#16
3.41.4
4.45.8
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned