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Red67
250228.6
284610.0
565328.3
Blue89
32917.4
388342.9
249145.3
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681240501001502002506789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+34
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
35Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
67Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.1
24.524.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
blue by 16.7
45.30.9
47.046.1
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
Second
5653
#15
28.30.1
33.633.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
blue by 14.7
42.90.9
42.641.7
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Third
2846
#11
10.00.1
9.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.8
red by 2.6
3291
#12
7.40.9
12.711.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed