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Red39
285513.3
310035.6
25312.5
Blue53
218112.9
310227.0
703816.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557102040801001201403953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+22
Endgame+18
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#5
11Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
15Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
12Foul points8
39Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.6
35.133.5
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
red by 8.6
27.01.1
31.330.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Second
2855
#14
13.31.6
12.410.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 2.9
16.11.1
16.815.6
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Third
2531
#10
2.51.6
4.02.4
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
blue by 10.4
12.91.1
13.712.6
Auto7.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed