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Red52
308236.4
285513.3
218112.9
Blue85
25312.5
249145.3
284610.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665802040801001205285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
16Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
52Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.8
40.840.0
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 8.9
45.31.4
46.147.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
Second
2855
#14
13.30.8
10.810.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 3.3
2846
#11
10.01.4
9.711.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Third
12.90.8
12.611.8
Auto7.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 10.4
2531
#10
2.51.4
2.43.7
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned