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Red160
388342.9
310035.6
250228.6
Blue119
205247.9
703816.1
285513.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11279050100150200160119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
94Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
160Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.93.0
41.744.7
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
blue by 5.0
47.91.8
48.350.1
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
35.63.0
33.536.5
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
red by 19.4
16.11.8
15.617.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Third
28.63.0
23.526.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 15.3
2855
#14
13.31.8
10.011.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned