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Red78
32917.4
703816.1
308236.4
Blue51
284610.0
217712.7
310227.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896602040801001201401607851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
38Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
30Foul points0
78Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.4
40.037.5
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
red by 9.4
27.01.1
27.626.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Second
16.12.4
17.515.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
red by 3.4
2177
#13
12.71.1
13.912.7
Auto2.1
Teleop10.5
End0.1
Third
3291
#12
7.42.4
9.26.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 2.6
2846
#11
10.01.1
11.110.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed