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Red89
249145.3
205247.9
310035.6
Blue17
25312.5
565328.3
78493.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163220501002002503008917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+72Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +58
14Coral scored#3
50Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
68Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
89Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.93.0
50.147.1
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
red by 19.6
5653
#15
28.31.5
30.929.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Second
45.33.0
47.544.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
red by 41.9
7849
#16
3.41.5
4.93.4
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
Third
35.63.0
36.533.5
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
red by 33.1
2531
#10
2.51.5
3.72.2
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed