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Red66
285513.3
310227.0
250228.6
Blue30
25312.5
32917.4
218112.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955001502002506630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
44Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
66Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.2
27.826.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 15.7
12.91.1
16.815.6
Auto7.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Second
27.01.2
37.736.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
red by 19.7
3291
#12
7.41.4
17.816.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
2855
#14
13.31.2
17.816.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 10.8
2531
#10
2.51.1
12.511.4
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed