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Red48
78493.4
249145.3
32917.4
Blue50
205247.9
25312.5
310227.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881250501502002503004850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +9
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
23Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points12
48Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.32.1
53.751.6
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
blue by 2.7
47.94.6
59.054.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
3291
#12
7.42.3
16.414.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 19.7
27.04.6
36.531.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Third
7849
#16
3.42.1
9.57.4
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
red by 0.9
2531
#10
2.54.6
11.46.8
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed