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Red79
565328.3
308236.4
285513.3
Blue88
250228.6
703816.1
205247.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511760801001401607988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
50Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
79Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#8Sur
36.42.7
51.548.8
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End1.2
blue by 11.5
47.91.9
54.452.6
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
5653
#15Sur
28.32.7
38.736.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.5
End3.1
blue by 0.3
2502
#2Sur
28.61.9
26.724.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
2855
#14
13.32.7
16.714.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 2.9
7038
#5Sur
16.11.9
19.818.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed