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Red34
310035.6
78493.4
217712.7
Blue68
284610.0
218112.9
388342.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7372405060803468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +24
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
16Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
34Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.62.3
39.236.9
Auto2.7
Teleop27.8
End5.1
blue by 7.4
42.90.1
41.641.5
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
Second
2177
#13
12.72.3
22.219.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.5
End0.1
blue by 0.2
12.90.1
15.615.5
Auto7.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Third
7849
#16
3.42.3
7.45.1
Auto3.3
Teleop-1.3
End1.4
blue by 6.6
2846
#11
10.00.1
10.210.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed