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Red104
250228.6
285513.3
388342.9
Blue72
310227.0
218112.9
703816.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976105015020010472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
70Total teleop43
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
104Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.3
41.541.8
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
red by 15.9
27.00.1
26.526.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End4.1
Second
28.60.3
27.127.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 12.4
16.10.1
15.715.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Third
2855
#14
13.30.3
11.812.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 0.4
12.90.1
12.412.6
Auto7.2
Teleop3.2
End2.5